Smuggler Archive

Thread: Random prediction on slicing?

Cloudchasing
Wed Jan 19, 2005 2:00 pm
#1






DRWolfe wrote:
I'm sorry, I know I'm supposed to let this die, and I have been away from slicing for awhile, but what the ... is a "tell slice"?





I didn't even bother asking....



Shaidown Lack-Lowca Galaxy
Master Smuggler
Samaw
Wed Jan 19, 2005 2:01 pm
#2






Cloudchasing wrote:





Samaw wrote:





Cloudchasing wrote:





Samaw wrote:

Does anyone else feel that they can predict the weapon slice with about 80% accuracy?






Of course!!


I can predict with 50% accuracy that any slice on a weapon will be damage.


Once it is determined within 50% accuracy that it will be damage, I can the predict with a FULL 30% accuracy that the slice will be between 18% and 32%, possibly.




Dude, how much longer do we have to answer this QUESTION?!!!!!!!!




have you tried using a tell slice to see what color give is doing what at the time and then slicing the important weapon and only doing it if the color is the one that gave you damage on the tell slice or the opposite if the tell was a speed slice.






Samaw,



I'm not going to be rude about this, I just need you to understand. There is zero way for you to predict any kind of slice. There is a 50% chance that you will get a damage slice. There is a 5% chance that that damage slice will be 35%. But please, enough with the threads about how I predicted a damage slice because I was wearing clothes that happened to match the clothes that the weaponsmith was wearing the day the he spawned on tatooine.



Please, stop. If you haven't read any of the other threads on slicing, please do.



And to everyone else, don't type anything on this post, even though I know you really, REALLY want to. Let's just let it DIE.



Thanks









Sorry and not to be rude, but it does seem to work with about 80% accuracy. Here is some results I have using the system. 7 of 9 damage slices and 3 of 3 damage slices.


This is what I do slice a weaker weapon paying attention to the first color and see what the result is. IE blue just happened to be a damage slice. So the next slice I do with the Krayt tissues I use the clamp to see what color it is. If it is blue then I finish the slice if it isn't the color I want then I cancell the slice and do another tell slice. One thing I have noticed is that you need to use T 21 for a tell slice on a Krayt T 21. But if you use another kind of weapon it tends to be the opposite color since you are changing weapon types.



Please before any more flames please play with this and see what kind of results you see. Like I said earlier it isn't full proof but it seems to work about 80% of the time and there is quit a few extra slices involved but if you have a better chance of getting what you want then it is worth it.




Samaw Master Weaponsmith 12pt
Samaw's Weapons of Choice ( -3250 , 3750 ) Near Dragon's Lair on Naboo
Samaw's Weapons of Choice ( -1145, 1735) In New Thebes on Tatooine
yimaz
Wed Jan 19, 2005 2:02 pm
#3







NickHeel wrote:




yimaz wrote:
I usually just call Miss Cleo (physic friends)before I slice any personal weapons.




DUDE! Stay away from my mom!






I cant help it che is sooooo domn syexy mon! En che is always tellin me to pick up da phone an cal 'er.






Message Edited by yimaz on 01-19-2005 04:12 PM



Yimayz Samoot
Master Smuggler & Master Pilot
Captain of the Auto de fé

maxtheusher
Wed Jan 19, 2005 2:08 pm
#4

Actually... Now nobody put me in the hurt locker for this one, but some numbers are more likely to come up than others in any random sequence. That doesn't mean you can predict when they'll occur, and without access tot he formula they use to generate the random numbers, there'd be no way to determine which numbers are actually more likely. You could do a long term study and slice like 4 million survival knives, and 4 million pieces of armor, and you could then postulate with a reasonable accuracy what is more likely, after feeding the numbers into a statistics program.

Even then, I'm sure it would come out to like 51% damage, 49% speed. negligible at best.

The % of the slice would be more interesting, but still a pretty flat curve.



大胆框
赏金猎人

动 性交 你 SOE
Samaw
Wed Jan 19, 2005 2:10 pm
#5

one other thing that I have noticed is that it seems to change about every 20 seconds.



Samaw Master Weaponsmith 12pt
Samaw's Weapons of Choice ( -3250 , 3750 ) Near Dragon's Lair on Naboo
Samaw's Weapons of Choice ( -1145, 1735) In New Thebes on Tatooine
DrevenStrobe
Wed Jan 19, 2005 2:11 pm
#6

*twitch*



Dreven Strobe (Colonel) Tristyn Strobe
TKM / Master Pistoleer / Master Smuggler / Master Merchant
Imp FP Broker: 130c/FP Starsider Imp FP Broker: 130c/FP
Smuggler 'til the end...and then some.
"Everything I tell you is a lie. The truth is always bigger than the words we use to describe it."
Samaw
Wed Jan 19, 2005 2:12 pm
#7

If anyone needs me to clarify the pattern that I'm talking about I will be more than happy to try and explain again. It is a little confusing.



Samaw Master Weaponsmith 12pt
Samaw's Weapons of Choice ( -3250 , 3750 ) Near Dragon's Lair on Naboo
Samaw's Weapons of Choice ( -1145, 1735) In New Thebes on Tatooine
maxtheusher
Wed Jan 19, 2005 2:13 pm
#8

Also, W T H is a Tell Slice anyway?

Maybe he's just doing this for fun, like a TKer in an online FPS.



大胆框
赏金猎人

动 性交 你 SOE
Nicolas_Frost
Wed Jan 19, 2005 2:14 pm
#9



Samaw wrote:


Cloudchasing wrote:


Samaw wrote:


Cloudchasing wrote:


Samaw wrote:
Does anyone else feel that they can predict the weapon slice with about 80% accuracy?



Of course!!
I can predict with 50% accuracy that any slice on a weapon will be damage.
Once it is determined within 50% accuracy that it will be damage, I can the predict with a FULL 30% accuracy that the slice will be between 18% and 32%, possibly.
Dude, how much longer do we have to answer this QUESTION?!!!!!!!!


have you tried using a tell slice to see what color give is doing what at the time and then slicing the important weapon and only doing it if the color is the one that gave you damage on the tell slice or the opposite if the tell was a speed slice.


Samaw,

I'm not going to be rude about this, I just need you to understand. There is zero way for you to predict any kind of slice. There is a 50% chance that you will get a damage slice. There is a 5% chance that that damage slice will be 35%. But please, enough with the threads about how I predicted a damage slice because I was wearing clothes that happened to match the clothes that the weaponsmith was wearing the day the he spawned on tatooine.

Please, stop. If you haven't read any of the other threads on slicing, please do.

And to everyone else, don't type anything on this post, even though I know you really, REALLY want to. Let's just let it DIE.

Thanks




Sorry and not to be rude, but it does seem to work with about 80% accuracy. Here is some results I have using the system. 7 of 9 damage slices and 3 of 3 damage slices.

This is what I do slice a weaker weapon paying attention to the first color and see what the result is. IE blue just happened to be a damage slice. So the next slice I do with the Krayt tissues I use the clamp to see what color it is. If it is blue then I finish the slice if it isn't the color I want then I cancell the slice and do another tell slice. One thing I have noticed is that you need to use T 21 for a tell slice on a Krayt T 21. But if you use another kind of weapon it tends to be the opposite color since you are changing weapon types.

Please before any more flames please play with this and see what kind of results you see. Like I said earlier it isn't full proof but it seems to work about 80% of the time and there is quit a few extra slices involved but if you have a better chance of getting what you want then it is worth it.







*falls on the floor, crawls into the corner, and assumes the fetal position, crying*

It just doesn't end....



Jaecob Maragi
Babelonian Militia Captain
Master Smuggler and Alliance Pilot
Captain of the LongShot(2)
THE Official Smuggler Forum Smartass!
The prices of my services are based on "tolerance". The more I have to tolerate you, the more you have to pay me.


DrevenStrobe
Wed Jan 19, 2005 2:14 pm
#10






Samaw wrote:

If anyone needs me to clarify the pattern that I'm talking about I will be more than happy to try and explain again. It is a little confusing.






If it's that confusing, then it's not a pattern...


*continues wondering what people don't understand about slicing being RANDOM*



Dreven Strobe (Colonel) Tristyn Strobe
TKM / Master Pistoleer / Master Smuggler / Master Merchant
Imp FP Broker: 130c/FP Starsider Imp FP Broker: 130c/FP
Smuggler 'til the end...and then some.
"Everything I tell you is a lie. The truth is always bigger than the words we use to describe it."
Samaw
Wed Jan 19, 2005 2:16 pm
#11






DrevenStrobe wrote:





Samaw wrote:

If anyone needs me to clarify the pattern that I'm talking about I will be more than happy to try and explain again. It is a little confusing.






If it's that confusing, then it's not a pattern...


*continues wondering what people don't understand about slicing being RANDOM*






confusing to explain but give it a try you might like it.



Samaw Master Weaponsmith 12pt
Samaw's Weapons of Choice ( -3250 , 3750 ) Near Dragon's Lair on Naboo
Samaw's Weapons of Choice ( -1145, 1735) In New Thebes on Tatooine
Albve
Wed Jan 19, 2005 2:18 pm
#12

Samaw, if you posted this to make a joke - sorry, 12,000 people beat you to it. It really isn't funny anymore.


If you're serious about this, go try to figure out some real conspiracy theories like what's at Area 51 or the DaVinci Code or something like that. Since you know the super-secret SOE tell slice key to the game, watch it. They're on to you. Better start wearing the tin-foil hat so they can't hit you with the mind control laser.


By the way, your theory is based on "predicting" 12 whole slices? Wow, that is real scientific evidence...


I don't know why I even posted. It just encourages them.



Albve Co'chi
Master Smuggler (since 8/22/2003)
Master Pistoleer (nerfed 11/15/2005)
Master TKA (nerfed 04/27/2005)
Smuggle-free (Since 06/29/2003)
DRWolfe
Wed Jan 19, 2005 2:20 pm
#13


maxtheusher wrote:
The % of the slice would be more interesting, but still a pretty flat curve.


Flat curve?

*boggle

Message Edited by DRWolfe on 01-19-2005 04:21 PM



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