Shipwright Archive

Thread: Firespray Schematic

WolfBloodrunner
Wed Nov 24, 2004 10:38 am
#1
So if you were to recieve 1-2 schematic parts per 100-200 part session, is it safe to say that you have approximately a 1% chance of recieving a schematic piece everytime you analyze a component? I've done about 75 pieces over a number of days and have yet to recieve a piece. So, it would be my guess if I sat down and ground about 100 RE'ed components, I would at least recieve one piece of the schematic?



Sarke FoxFire [symbiosis] ±
µµµµSlipShoT [pwnt]
jfarr
Wed Nov 24, 2004 11:01 am
#2
its all random, i re'ed 2 pieces in 1 day and got 2 lol 1 is what i needed.Ive also re'ed 300 in 1 day and didnt get any so its just random.
i need 4 to complete it




Gannonn
Stark-Fuji
Wed Nov 24, 2004 3:43 pm
#3
I've RE'd for an hour stright with nothign and then low and behold, within 35 seconds of each other i found 2 fragments.



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Insidius
Wed Nov 24, 2004 9:08 pm
#4
I got 2 in a row once.

It's purely random.
pervel
Wed Nov 24, 2004 10:25 pm
#5




WolfBloodrunner wrote:
So if you were to recieve 1-2 schematic parts per 100-200 part session, is it safe to say that you have approximately a 1% chance of recieving a schematic piece everytime you analyze a component? I've done about 75 pieces over a number of days and have yet to recieve a piece. So, it would be my guess if I sat down and ground about 100 RE'ed components, I would at least recieve one piece of the schematic?




Probablity theory is tricky. If we assume that there is a 1% chance of getting a disc each time you RE and you RE 100 parts, then you have a 63% chance of getting at least one disc.

caelfoth
Thu Nov 25, 2004 12:17 am
#6




pervel wrote:





WolfBloodrunner wrote:
So if you were to recieve 1-2 schematic parts per 100-200 part session, is it safe to say that you have approximately a 1% chance of recieving a schematic piece everytime you analyze a component? I've done about 75 pieces over a number of days and have yet to recieve a piece. So, it would be my guess if I sat down and ground about 100 RE'ed components, I would at least recieve one piece of the schematic?




Probablity theory is tricky. If we assume that there is a 1% chance of getting a disc each time you RE and you RE 100 parts, then you have a 63% chance of getting at least one disc.




wrong.. each action is an independent probability roll with no prior instance having an effect. If the chance is 1% it is 1% for each and every instance of the probability.



Sarkokrul Aka'Kahn (Purgatory) MBH (the old way), Palomino (Extraordinary Crafting Stations), Kurn (Master Shipwright) FIRST FIRESPRAY BUILDER
Took me 32 professions to find a class I could grind till I die Unlocked 5/26/04

-1808 -4399 outside Bestine on Tatooine
pervel
Thu Nov 25, 2004 3:14 am
#7




caelfoth wrote:




pervel wrote:





WolfBloodrunner wrote:
So if you were to recieve 1-2 schematic parts per 100-200 part session, is it safe to say that you have approximately a 1% chance of recieving a schematic piece everytime you analyze a component? I've done about 75 pieces over a number of days and have yet to recieve a piece. So, it would be my guess if I sat down and ground about 100 RE'ed components, I would at least recieve one piece of the schematic?




Probablity theory is tricky. If we assume that there is a 1% chance of getting a disc each time you RE and you RE 100 parts, then you have a 63% chance of getting at least one disc.




wrong.. each action is an independent probability roll with no prior instance having an effect. If the chance is 1% it is 1% for each and every instance of the probability.




Yes, where did I say anything other than that?

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