Armorsmith Archive

• I am 12 point armorsmith (+20 armorsmith experimentation)
  
• I have +22 in armorsmith assembly from tapes
  
• For the majority of this testing, I was a 10 point smith with no tapes whatsoever (this changed last month)
  
• I tested using kinetic layers, blast layers, ubese armor, chitin armor, mabari armor, padded armor, RIS armor, and all the segments therein.

Like Furia, I experimented with only the SR and base lines. Any time I experimented in encum, I discarded those results. It is important to note that this is coming from a 10 point smith the majority of this time.

I crafted 132,987 times since last October when I hit master, and the Experiment ended this February, when I crafted my 80% RIS armor. Of those times:

• 32 of them were critical failure on assembly.


• 4 of them were good assembly


• 72,029of them were great assemby.


• 60,932 of them were amazing assemby.

Since we are only comparing great to amazing, this is what I found:

With amazing assembly:

• 27,419 were amazing experimentation, of which 9,901 were repeat amazing experimentations (as in on same item)


• 33,513were great experimentation

With great assembly:

• 25,210 were amazing experimentation, of which 3,429 were repeat amazing experimentations (as in one item)


• 46,819 were great experimentation

So:

Chance of Amazing Experimentation on an Amazing Assembly: 45%

Chance ofGreat Experimentation on anAmazing Assembly: 55%

Chance of Amazing Experimentation on aGreat Assembly: 35%

Chance ofGreat Experimentation on aGreat Assembly: 65%

Conclusions:

Based on a long study of probability, and how items are crafted, the basic appearance over time is that you have a 10% better chance of achieving an amazing experimentation with an amazing assembly, than you do without. This also explains why a short term research will not catch this - 10% of a smaller number of experiments is a very small number, but that number grows as the number of experiments grows.

Reasoning:

Some might ask why I did this from the beginning of my armorsmith career. It was my goal, long before I even became an armorsmith, to have my own, perfect set of RIS armor. I had collected the pieces over a year. Finally, I decided that to be absolutely sure the armor comes out the way I desire, I would pick up armorsmith, and learn as much as I can about it. Therefore, since I saw my assembly and things up on my way to becoming master, I decided once I had the full benefits of being a master, I would chart the amazings and greats to determine if this was something I could influence, or if I was better off not counting on it for crafting my RIS.

I hope this data comes as a huge help to you all.

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Meplorium wrote:

That looks like good data to me with a nice N value. Do you have the break down on the items? Be interesting to see if the amazing assemblies make more or less of a difference depending on the item being made.

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Baccarat wrote:

It looks like your results are within my error bars (well except one of them, but since it's only a 66% chance of being within one error bar that isn't so strange). So it seems more data revealed a different trend. This is good, we need to know these things.

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